Here is the rough break down for PTI victory march :-
PTI will clean sweep KPK, Southern Punjab, Islamabad, Rawalpindi with very strong showing in GT road belt. Converting this to numbers easily gives PTI 30(KPK+FATA)+80(Punjab)+5(Sindh)+5(Balochistan)=120 seats. This would mean, PTI will form government easily with help from PSP, Independents, and Pir Sahib Pagaro etc. PTI will also form government in Punjab, and KPK with possibility in Balochistan as well. PML(N) will be limited to Punjab only, and that too as opposition party. It will get less than 40 NA seats.
Here's PTI tally distribution from Punjab: 30 NA seats from South Punjab, over 50 NA seats from Central Punjab. PTI will sweep Rawalpindi, Islamabad, Attock, Vehari, Lahore 7+ seats, Kasur, Sialkot, Jhang , Mianwali and show very strong showing elsewhere.
Noon league might now lose Lahore as well, especially after Zaeem Qadri switch. Their candidates are highly demotivated in Lahore. Even last time, they won many seats through fake votes printed and stuffed through Patwari mafia. This time, PTI should not let them do it.
PML(N) has failed to announce candidates so far, because they don't have candidates willing to take their tickets. They are meeting the same fate that was suffered by PPP, ANP, JUI in most the country, where people hate them and candidates fear their ticket like a deadly disease.
https://tribune.com.pk/story/1734633/1-pml-n-unveil-list-candidates-eid/
PML(N) has failed to hold a major jalsa while in power for 10 years, which shows their popularity. Their narrative Mjuhe kyon Nikala has totally failed, and now their leadership is hiding in London. People fear that they may use Kalsoom Nawaz to continue to hide in London, while evading Panama court case and election battle.
Real danger is Noon league may get totally demotivated and fall as low as 10 NA seats. Noon league will find it very hard to campaign due to strong public resentment, and lack of support from electable's when it needs them the most. This also implies that it is very likely that Noon league may boycott elections from London because game is over and leadership knows it before anyone else.
Where are PML(N) Candidates for Election 2018 ?
https://tribune.com.pk/story/1734633/1-pml-n-unveil-list-candidates-eid/
Maryam afraid to face Dr. Yasmin
https://www.dawn.com/news/1415528/award-of-tickets-na-125-or-127-maryam-walks-a-tightrope
PTI Ticket to Victory : https://tribune.com.pk/story/1731690/6-ptis-tickets-victory/
https://hassannisar.pk/pakistan_42761.html
PTI will clean sweep KPK, Southern Punjab, Islamabad, Rawalpindi with very strong showing in GT road belt. Converting this to numbers easily gives PTI 30(KPK+FATA)+80(Punjab)+5(Sindh)+5(Balochistan)=120 seats. This would mean, PTI will form government easily with help from PSP, Independents, and Pir Sahib Pagaro etc. PTI will also form government in Punjab, and KPK with possibility in Balochistan as well. PML(N) will be limited to Punjab only, and that too as opposition party. It will get less than 40 NA seats.
Here's PTI tally distribution from Punjab: 30 NA seats from South Punjab, over 50 NA seats from Central Punjab. PTI will sweep Rawalpindi, Islamabad, Attock, Vehari, Lahore 7+ seats, Kasur, Sialkot, Jhang , Mianwali and show very strong showing elsewhere.
Noon league might now lose Lahore as well, especially after Zaeem Qadri switch. Their candidates are highly demotivated in Lahore. Even last time, they won many seats through fake votes printed and stuffed through Patwari mafia. This time, PTI should not let them do it.
PML(N) has failed to announce candidates so far, because they don't have candidates willing to take their tickets. They are meeting the same fate that was suffered by PPP, ANP, JUI in most the country, where people hate them and candidates fear their ticket like a deadly disease.
https://tribune.com.pk/story/1734633/1-pml-n-unveil-list-candidates-eid/
PML(N) has failed to hold a major jalsa while in power for 10 years, which shows their popularity. Their narrative Mjuhe kyon Nikala has totally failed, and now their leadership is hiding in London. People fear that they may use Kalsoom Nawaz to continue to hide in London, while evading Panama court case and election battle.
Real danger is Noon league may get totally demotivated and fall as low as 10 NA seats. Noon league will find it very hard to campaign due to strong public resentment, and lack of support from electable's when it needs them the most. This also implies that it is very likely that Noon league may boycott elections from London because game is over and leadership knows it before anyone else.
PML(N) Demise in News
Zaeem Qadri Leaves PML(N)
https://www.dawn.com/news/1415230/cant-polish-hamzas-boots-will-contest-election-as-independent-candidate-says-zaeem-qadriWhere are PML(N) Candidates for Election 2018 ?
https://tribune.com.pk/story/1734633/1-pml-n-unveil-list-candidates-eid/
Maryam afraid to face Dr. Yasmin
https://www.dawn.com/news/1415528/award-of-tickets-na-125-or-127-maryam-walks-a-tightrope
PML(N) Defections
PTI Ticket to Victory : https://tribune.com.pk/story/1731690/6-ptis-tickets-victory/
PTI Victory Predictions
https://hassannisar.com.pk/2018/06/23/77335https://hassannisar.pk/pakistan_42761.html
Performance Comparison
Area
|
PTI
|
PML(N)
|
PPP
|
Electricity
Generation
|
Yes, upto 200 MW
mostly through small dams at Rs. 2 per unit
|
11000 MW's, at Rs.
10+ per unit
|
Yes, but limited
|
Loadshedding
|
Not applicable
federal government responsibility
|
Reduced
significantly, did not invest in distribution deliberately to hide and
support their corruption in power generation
|
Massive
loadshedding
|
Dams
|
Yes, 300+ small
and medium sized dams in KPK
|
Completed Neelum
Jehlum projects, but major disappointment in this area
|
No, did not do
anything
|
Health
|
Major contribution
towards improving hospitals, healthcare through hiring 4500+ doctors and
Sehat Sahulat cards
|
Total
disappointment
|
Total
disappointment
|
Police
|
Improved police
through reforms, best police in Pakistan
|
Continued with
politicization of police and used them for oppressing opponents through
target killings. Model Town massacre was highlight of their rule
|
Total
disappointment
|
Education
|
Rebuilt thousands
of schools, and hired 45000+ teachers, and established IT labs in Schools
|
Little or no
improvement in schools, Total Disappointment
|
Total
disappointment
|
Money Laundering
|
Not applicable
federal government responsibility
|
Fully supported
money laundering, resulted in FATF grey list
|
Fully supported
money laundering
|
Justice
|
Supported justice
at all levels
|
Attacked courts
|
Obstructed justice
wherever possible
|
Loans
|
Minimal
|
30 billion dollars
in loans
|
Over 10 billion in
Loans
|
Taxes
|
Increased tax
revenue
|
Taxed the poor and
gave amnesties to rich tax evaders and money launderers
|
Taxed the poor and
gave amnesties to rich tax evaders and money launderers
|
Party democracy
|
Minimal, failed at
party elections
|
Non-democratic
dynastic political party
|
Non-democratic
dynastic political party
|
Khattam-e-Nabawat
|
Not applicable
|
Tried to change
khattam-e-Nabawat laws secretly like thieves for their own political survival
|
Not applicable
|
Infrastructure
|
Yes, improved in
most areas
|
Massive
improvement in many areas
|
Total
Disappointment
|
Saaf Paani
|
In KPK water is
not major issue
|
Failed in
providing saaf paani due to massive corruption
|
Total
Disappointment
|
Cheap Housing
|
Has not yet worked
on it, but promised if elected in election 2018
|
Failed in
providing due to massive corruption in Aashyana Housing (Ahad Cheema Case
pending in NAB)
|
Total
Disappointment, never took any steps
|
Environment
|
Billion Tree
Tsaunami. Recognized by Bonn challenge. Major impact on environment and
tourism
|
Total
Disappointment. Only contributed to destruction of environment
|
Total
Disappointment. Only contributed to destruction of environment
|
Steel Mills
|
Not applicable
|
Closed Down
|
Supported using
tax payer money
|
Railway
|
Not applicable
|
Running in losses
of billions, supported through tax payer money
|
Almost closed down
railway
|
PIA
|
Not applicable
|
Running in losses
of billions, supported through tax payer money. Supported air blue and gave
routes to foreign airlines
|
Almost closed down
PIA by reducing air routes
|
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